The second impeachment trial of former President Donald Trump begins today, about a month after he was charged by the House with incitement of insurrection for his role in egging on a violent mob that
What to watch for as Donald Trump's impeachment trial begins
Donald Trump is facing his second impeachment trial. Photo / AP
Up to four hours will be devoted to debating the constitutionality of impeaching a president who is no longer in office. If a simple majority of senators agree to move forward, as expected, the main part of the trial begins.
Starting Wednesday, the prosecution and the defence will have 16 hours each to present their cases to the senators, who are serving as a jury. The oral arguments will continue at least through Friday, but could extend into next week.
Tradition dictates that senators are then allowed at least one day to ask questions. This time, senators may give House managers the option to force a debate and vote on calling witnesses, but it is unclear if they will choose to do so. The trial is expected to conclude with closing arguments and a final vote on whether to convict Trump.
What are the arguments on both sides?
In a fast-paced and cinematic case, the House managers will argue before the Senate that Trump is guilty of inciting a deadly mob of his supporters to storm the Capitol on January 6.
The prosecution plans to show videos captured by the mob, Trump's unvarnished words and criminal pleas from rioters who said they acted at the former president's behest. In trying to rekindle the outrage around the assault, which sent lawmakers into hiding as they met to certify President Joe Biden's victory, House managers are aiming for a conviction and to bar Trump from holding office again.
![Representative Jamie Raskin, Democrat of Maryland, is the lead impeachment manager in former President Donald J. Trump's trial. Photo / AP](https://www.nzherald.co.nz/resizer/v2/CQYPUZNE3NCHJTSASTIB7EN3IY.jpg?auth=dc9a3b74ad85a0b52984e6420574f87c6e12978f6e8cef436cad18ee015329f2&width=16&height=11&quality=70&smart=true)
"We think that every American should be aware of what happened," Representative Jamie Raskin, D-Md. and the lead prosecutor, said in an interview. "That the reason he was impeached by the House and the reason he should be convicted and disqualified from holding future federal office is to make sure that such an attack on our democracy and Constitution never happens again."
In a 78-page brief filed Monday, Trump's lawyers argued that the impeachment proceedings were unconstitutional because Congress has no basis for judging a former president. No former president has ever been impeached, but the trial is not without precedent: The Senate tried a war secretary in the 1870s after he had left office.
On Friday, more than 140 constitutional lawyers took aim at the argument put forth by Trump's lawyers, calling it "legally frivolous." However, it could still give Republican senators political cover to reject the charges on a technical issue without being forced to focus on Trump's behaviour.
Is Trump likely to be convicted?
Whatever unfolds in arguments throughout the week, few expect that enough Senate Republicans will vote differently than they did in Trump's first impeachment trial.
Senator Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., said as much on Sunday, suggesting on the CBS programme Face the Nation that the outcome of the trial was "really not in doubt."
When the Senate voted to acquit Trump last year, Senator Mitt Romney of Utah was the only Republican to join Democrats in voting to convict.
This time, he may not be alone.
Several other Republicans, including Senators Ben Sasse of Nebraska, Patrick J. Toomey of Pennsylvania and Susan Collins of Maine, indicated that they had serious concerns about Trump's role in inciting violence.
But less than two weeks ago, 45 Republicans voted to dismiss the entire impeachment proceeding as unconstitutional, strongly indicating that the threshold of 67 votes — or two-thirds of the chamber — needed to convict might be out of reach.
Written by: Aishvarya Kavi and Zachary Montague
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