Biden will have to prepare for office sight unseen. This could have material consequences. It is doubtful, for example, that Trump will share records of his "operation warp speed" on the coronavirus vaccine. The best for which Biden can hope is that Trump goes quietly having shredded forests of White House documents.
Biden's presidency risks being caught between two irreconcilable forces — a stubbornly entrenched Trumpian right and an embittered Democratic left. The sobering reality to Trump's likely narrow defeat is that almost none of his co-conspirators met the same fate.
Lindsey Graham, the senator from South Carolina, was comfortably re-elected, as was McConnell. Democrats may well have lost seats in the House of Representatives. The Republican newcomers are more Trumpian than Trump. One of its intake is Marjorie Taylor Greene, who is an avowed supporter of QAnon, the far-right conspiracy group. Any chance this election would break the Republican fever, as Obama once put it, has been dashed.
So what could Biden do? The short answer is that he will strive to find an American middle that no longer seems to exist. Whatever deals he strikes with McConnell will alienate the Democratic left. Yet in the absence of an attempt at bipartisan co-operation, Mr Biden would accomplish little.
That gives McConnell the upper hand. Some things, such as a federal coronavirus plan, can be done by executive order. Others, such as big appointments, will have to meet with Republican approval. Expect Biden to appoint at least one or two Republicans to his cabinet. The left will hate that.
Only in foreign policy will Biden have freedom of manoeuvre. Therein lies a paradox. US democracy has taken a reputational battering on the world stage. The 2020 election is unlikely to reverse that. Foreigners know that US politics is trench warfare in which each side grinds out tiny gains at great expense. Big realignments are a thing of the past.
Yet the world will feel America's change more than most Americans. Within days of taking office, Biden is likely to undo half of what Trump has wrought. He will rejoin the Paris accord on climate change, the World Health Organisation and possibly the Iran nuclear deal. But his chances of raising the US minimum wage will be close to zero. Higher taxes on America's wealthy are off the menu. The ghost of Trump will stalk Biden's America.
Written by: Edward Luce
© Financial Times