Andrew Hawkins, the founder of ComRes, the political polling company, says while Clegg's image could not be much poorer, any damage caused by Radcliffe's snub would only be temporary. "It could matter insofar as it might encourage people to think others are thinking what they're thinking," he says. "But beyond that I don't think Radcliffe or Colin Firth is going to be decisive in determining anyone's future. And I'm not aware of a celebrity who has had an effect on polls."
The era of the celebrity endorsement peaked after Labour's landslide victory in 1997, when the chief glad-hander, Tony Blair, hosted a series of receptions at No 10. Guests included Noel Gallagher, the poster boy for Cool Britannia, the culture Blair hitched to New Labour's brand juggernaut. But the Oasis guitarist later epitomised the potential weakness of such couplings. "A lot of us got carried away with the New Labour thing, me included," he said in 2002. "When Tony Blair was courting the music business, idiots like me thought we could have a say, but it became a publicity stunt on his behalf."
Last weekend, Gallagher's change of heart was more violent even than Radcliffe's. "Under Thatcher, great art was made," he said. "There was a work ethic ... now, these kids brought up under the Labour Party ... it's like, 'Forget that, I'm not interested. I wanna be on TV'."
The collision of celebrity and politics can be risky.
Tracey Emin reportedly fell out with Labour after being dissed by Andy Burnham in 2009. The artist revealed last year she was a Tory voter.
A valuable endorser must be committed. "You can't just do it if it seems good for your public image or to get some headlines," Borkowski adds. "It's about transparency and truth and if you're not really engaged it's going to be undone."
By Borkowski's standards, Eddie Izzard is perhaps the model celebrity campaigner. The comedian has fronted several election broadcasts for Labour and is one of its biggest donors. John Cleese filmed a three-minute monologue for the Liberal Democrats in 1992 and Sean Connery has been a long-standing supporter of the Scottish National Party.
Labour is coy about Radcliffe's switch. "It's always welcome to receive a pledge of support from celebrities as a way to raise our profile, reaching the wider public," a spokesman says. Miliband would do well to be cautious.
Both Radcliffe (a film) and Gallagher (a single) have things to promote. Moreover, the words Radcliffe chose to endorse the party were less effusive than those he used to ditch Clegg. "From what I've seen of Ed Miliband, I really like him," he said. Potter's last spell does not look like his most powerful.Independent
