CANBERRA - Australians are losing faith in the ability of Prime Minister Kevin Rudd to shut off the flow of refugee boats from Indonesia, an issue that in the past helped keep Labor out of power.
Although still in an overwhelmingly dominant position over a moribund Opposition, the Government is facing an increasingly serious political problem from the steady rise in the number of asylum seekers risking their lives in the Indian Ocean for a new life in Australia.
Two new polls yesterday showed that despite the relatively small numbers of people making the dangerous voyage, perceptions of collapsing border security are beginning to erode Labor's position.
Foreign Minister Stephen Smith was in Sri Lanka yesterday to seek means of stemming the increasing numbers of Tamils slipping into Indonesia to board boats bound for Australia.
And at the western Java port of Merak, hopes were growing of a deal to end a three-week standoff aboard the Australian Customs patrol ship Oceanic Viking, where 78 Sri Lankans are refusing to disembark after being picked up in Indonesian waters.
Reports indicated yesterday that the deal could include rapid processing of claims for asylum, and fast-tracked resettlement in countries that could include New Zealand. Indonesia has set a Friday deadline for the departure of the Oceanic Viking.
In 2001 New Zealand accepted some of the refugees rescued by the Norwegian ship Tampa as part of a deal that helped end an earlier diplomatic crisis faced by former conservative Prime Minister John Howard.
That crisis, sparked by the arrival of the Tampa off Christmas Island, despite being ordered not to enter Australian waters, hammered home the political significance of boat people.
The ship was stormed by the SAS and its 438 asylum seekers transferred by Australian Navy vessels to Nauru which, with Papua New Guinea, became Howard's "Pacific solution" by denying access to Australian territory and its legal system.
Howard also "excised" Christmas Island and many other offshore islands to broaden the legal moat around the nation's refugee appeal rights.
The Tampa affair came at a key point in Howard's re-election campaign, swinging opinion polls away from Labor and helping keep the Coalition in power.
Rudd is now facing deepening voter criticism of his handling of asylum seekers, and a sustained political barrage linking a softening of some of Howard's more draconian rules to a resurgence of refugee boats over the past year. The Government has maintained - and even extended - most of Howard's border control measures, increasing naval and other patrols, with a similar hardline approach that has retained the excised islands.
But voters remain unconvinced.
A Newspoll in the Australian yesterday said that 53 per cent thought Rudd was doing a bad job of handling the rising number of boat people, against 31 per cent who were satisfied with the Government's performance.
Almost half thought its policies were too soft.
Newspoll also found that Rudd was losing support among Labor voters: only 44 per cent believed he was doing a good job with asylum seekers, down from 53 per cent in April.
A Nielsen Poll in the Sydney Morning Herald said 47 per cent of respondents disapproved of the way Rudd was handling the issue - against 45 per cent who supported the Government - with a similar split over whether its policies were too soft.
The Government has not been helped by revelations that the spokesman for the people aboard the Oceanic Viking is a former street thug with a history of violence, who had been deported from Canada after being jailed on arms offences.
Previously known only as "Alex", he was identified by Sri Lankan officials as 27-year-old Sanjeev Kuhendrarajah, who had grown up in Canada and had become involved with a Tamil crime gang.
Kuhendrarajah has admitted his past to reporters but has denied Sri Lankan claims that he was a people-smuggler, and has said his key aim was to find a home outside Sri Lanka for his wife and young family.
Meanwhile, unions have joined Uniting Church, Catholic and Jewish organisations in a push for a humanitarian approach to asylum seekers, and the Australian Tamil Congress has launched a campaign focusing on conditions facing Tamils in Sri Lanka.
"The Australian Government needs to play a compassionate leadership role in our region by helping to address the causes of why people are fleeing Sri Lanka and risking their lives in boats that are barely seaworthy to come to Australia," Congress spokeswoman Sara Nathan said.
Rudd support hit by fears on asylum seekers
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