As with all polling at this early a juncture, it should not be used to predict any outcomes. Things can and will change.
Biden, most notably, remains very popular from his time as Vice-President, and few analysts expect he'll be able to maintain that for an entire campaign.
But these polls are beginning to paint a pretty unified picture of Trump's current political standing as the 2020 race lurches to a start, and it's decidedly not a strong one.
If there's one thing the last two years have shown us, it's that Trump's political standing hasn't changed much.
The New York Times reports that this has begun to register with Trump, so much that he's instructed aides to pretend the polls don't say what they do:
"After being briefed on a devastating 17-state poll conducted by his campaign pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Mr Trump told aides to deny that his internal polling showed him trailing Mr Biden in many of the states he needs to win, even though he is also trailing in public polls from key states like Texas, Michigan and Pennsylvania. And when top-line details of the polling leaked, including numbers showing the president lagging in a cluster of critical Rust Belt states, Mr Trump instructed aides to say publicly that other data showed him doing well."
As ominous as the general election matchups in the new Quinnipiac poll are some of the other questions it posed. For instance, the majority of the country (7 in 10 people) regards the economy as good - a finding that would appear to be Trump's ace in the hole.
But just 41 per cent say it's good while crediting Trump for that. Among independents, 6 in 10 either say the economy is not good or that Trump deserves no credit. Just 34 per cent think it's good, thanks to Trump.
Trump also trails each Democrat among independents by at least 15 points, so even if you think the sample is off in some way, that's a pretty grim starting point.
Trump won independents in 2016, according to exit polls, by four points. He trails Biden among them by 30 points.
Trump was asked about the New York Times report and his standing in the poll shortly before the Quinnipiac poll published today, and all he could muster is that there is a Rasmussen poll showing him at 50 per cent approval. Rasmussen has frequently been Trump's best poll, with no other pollster consistently mirroring its numbers.
Asked whether he instructed aides to lie about the polls, Trump said: "I never do. My poll numbers are great. The amazing thing is all I do is get hit by this phony witch hunt."
He went on to decry the public polls showing him trailing as "fake polls" that are meant to suppress votes, which isn't how push polling works. There is no sense in suppressing votes 17 months before an election.
What's clear is that Trump was worried about his polls before today, and now he must be even more worried. It's beginning to look like if the Democrats can avoid their candidate being torn apart by the primary process and then Trump, they're in a really good position to start.
