Despite trying to ratchet up the pressure on Abbas, who is due to meet President Barack Obama in two weeks, Netanyahu is seen as anxious to keep going through the motions of negotiating with him and to see the peace talks extended at the end of April for another nine months as US Secretary of State John Kerry is trying to do. "Netanyahu is happy to continue talking and to continue for as long as possible without getting anywhere," says Yossi Alpher, former director of the Jaffee Centre for Strategic Studies.
Keeping up a process, albeit a hollow one, shields Israel from an escalation of international, particularly European, criticism and boycotting and prevents Abbas from turning to the United Nations and other international organisations to combat the occupation and embarrass Israel.
At the same time, by keeping the talks stagnant he avoids a rupture with powerful pro-settler elements in his Likud party and coalition over the territorial concessions that would be required in a real process.
Indeed, barring a change that is more than rhetorical from the Obama Administration, Netanyahu may go on using the talks as cover for continuing a binge of settlement building on the very territory that is supposed to be the heartland of a future Palestinian state.
Figures released on Tuesday by Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics showed settlement building increased by 123 per cent during 2013 compared with the previous year. It is an open question as to whether the Obama Administration will insist on a settlement freeze as a condition to continue the talks.
But the problem is not only on the Israeli side. Abbas is also anxious to keep talking without reaching an agreement, in the view of Palestinian analyst Ghassan Khatib.
Being blamed for a collapse of the talks could mean a cut in European and American aid and throw into question the viability and even existence of the Palestinian Authority.
At the same time, Abbas is seen by some as too weak to undertake the concessions an agreement with Israel would entail. His authority does not extend to Hamas-ruled Gaza and he has been unable to heal the rift with the Islamic movement. At the same time, there have been no presidential elections in the Palestinian self-rule areas for close to a decade, creating a serious legitimacy problem.
The Obama Administration appears to have lost some of its will to make history, scaling down the original goal of negotiations from a fully-fledged peace agreement by the end of April, to a framework of principles just to enable the talks to keep going.
The framework is expected to be vague and the sides will likely be allowed to lodge reservations. The coming weeks will centre on negotiations to narrow or paper over the vast differences between the sides. Netanyahu will object to the stipulation that the peace talks be conducted on the basis of the 1967 borders; while Abbas rejects the Jewish state demand, he is irate that Washington has not clearly recognised a Palestinian capital in what was Jordanian Jerusalem before 1967, and dismisses Israeli demands to retain a troop presence in the Jordan Valley area of the West Bank.
- Independent