The United States is legally obligated to sell weapons to Taiwan for its self-defense. The four-year hiatus in sales has drawn congressional criticism, with both senior Republicans and Democrats urging the administration to announce a new arms package, even if its risks tensions with China.
"China objects to all U.S. arms sales to Taiwan and will certainly denounce this sale. But in a break from the past, Beijing is not likely to suspend military-to-military exchanges with the U.S.," said Bonnie Glaser, an expert on China at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank. She said the arms package doesn't contain any advanced weapons, and China has also come to value the military exchanges with the U.S more than in the past.
President Barack Obama has sought greater cooperation with China on issues such as climate change, and the two sides have increased military exchanges to reduce the risk of conflict. But at the same time, relations have been roiled by China's construction of artificial islands in the South China Sea and allegations of Chinese cybertheft.
Taiwan, however, has weighed less on the U.S.-China relationship, as tensions between Taiwan and the mainland have eased in recent years, notwithstanding the growing gap in military capabilities across the Taiwan Strait.
The proposed U.S. sale comes ahead of Taiwan's presidential and legislative elections next month. The presidential candidate for the ruling Nationalist party, which has promoted economic ties with Beijing, is forecast to lose by a wide margin to the candidate from the main opposition party, which has traditionally advocated for Taiwanese independence.
David McKeeby, spokesman for the State Department's bureau of political-military affairs, said Tuesday that as a matter of policy, the department doesn't comment on proposed defense sales or transfers until Congress has been formally notified.