And yet, Gallup has put out an interesting survey today into views of Trump's performance, state-by-state, that has implications for the next presidential battle.
National polls have generally shown Trump's approval at about 40 per cent or fluttering slightly below it. At the moment Gallup has it at 39 per cent. That's low for a new president - the start should be the best of times for a fresh leader.
However, the Gallup study shows the variations between regions.
And looking at his popularity state-by-state brings the picture into alignment with the Electoral College, which decides the president in elections.
Gallup has divided the states into three: Those where Trump's job approval is 50 per cent or more, those where it ranges from 40 to 49 per cent and those where it is below 40 per cent.
Instantly there is a familiar pattern.
The high-approval states are traditional Republican red areas, the low approval regions are Democratic blue bastions and the middle ground is largely populated by the traditional swing states.
Comparing it to Trump's winning 2016 election map, of the states that voted Democrat, only Nevada and Maine are in the middle 40 to 49 per cent range now.
Of the states that voted for Trump, consistent swing states are in the lukewarm range: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, and Florida.
But there are also other states in that category that have been trending towards swing-state status such as North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona.
Most interestingly, so to are traditionally steady Republican seats such as Texas, which voted for Trump over Hillary Clinton by about 9 points, Mississippi which preferred Trump by 18, Missouri which voted for him by 19 and Indiana which went Trump by 20.
That suggests a dangerous softening of support for Trump - at least for the moment - and potential opportunities in the future for the Democrats. On the surface, a return of 17 states rating Trump 50 per cent or more looks like a good return after months of controversy and stalled legislative promises. But presidential elections are all about the swing states.
Gallup says that in the three Rust Belt states - Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - that voted for Trump having "not backed a Republican for president since the 1980s, his January-June approval ratings were just slightly above his overall average of 40 per cent, including 43 per cent in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin and 42 per cent in Michigan".
Gallup adds: "Although 2020 is a long way off, for him to successfully win re-election, historical patterns suggest his overall 40 per cent rating would need to rise closer to 50 per cent. He would also need to shore up his support in the key Rust Belt states".
There are a lot of ifs, of course. Can the Democrats forge unity, develop the right platform and messages and the right candidate for 2020?
Could this merely be the low point for Trump? Can he improve the lot for voters in the Rust Belt who took a chance on him?
He has survived many controversies that would have felled a dozen politicians. As president he is in uncharted territory.
