Opinion polls come and go, but when it comes to elections the 1600 souls of the pretty Burgundy village of Donzy always seem to know best.
Famous for its Pouilly-Fume wine and foie gras, Donzy has, with uncanny prescience, mirrored the voting pattern of France since 1981.
That year, it turned left behind Francois Mitterrand. In 1995 it went right behind Jacques Chirac; in 2007 it veered further right behind Nicolas Sarkozy. In 2002, when Jean-Marie Le Pen caused a political tsunami by knocking out the Socialist candidate to reach the second-round vote, Donzy did too, reflecting an entirely unexpected national trend.
The town's reputation as a political bellwether has been fixed in the national psyche by its history of picking not only the winner but also the runners-up in the correct order, and within a percentage point or two.
A week from the first round of the presidential election, the latest polls showed Nicolas Sarkozy and his Socialist rival Francois Hollande almost neck-and-neck for first place in the first round, but gave Hollande a sizeable victory in the second round a fortnight later.