Gwynne Dyer: Shame may right the wrongs in vexed US

It's not fair to blame George W. Bush for the disaster in New Orleans. He had nothing to do with the evacuation operation that left the poorest and most helpless people behind.

If some of his appointees failed to give enough attention and money to the city's sea defences, well, so have other appointees of other administrations for decades past. But Bush will get the blame, and that may set some long-overdue changes in motion.

Americans are not merely outraged by the fate of New Orleans; they are deeply embarrassed, for this has been a public humiliation.

A visibly angry reporter for the BBC, making an on-camera report from New Orleans four days after the disaster, spoke of how it had revealed "the dark underbelly of life in this country", and that was just how most non-Americans see it.

Almost all the people abandoned in New Orleans to struggle for survival (or just to drown) were poor and black. They belong to a hidden, Third World America so alienated from mainstream American society that armed gangs quickly sprang up to loot and to victimise the survivors.

Not Third World, really, but Fourth World, for most countries of the Third World have solidarity and social discipline. In New Orleans, even rescue helicopters were fired on, something that did not happen amid all the grief and despair of the tsunami disaster in the Indian Ocean countries last December.

It's not that most foreigners are anti-American or that Americans care desperately about what foreigners think - they don't. But they care a bit, and they know what foreigners must be thinking.

The Dutch, almost half of whom live below sea-level, are thinking that they would never so neglect their dykes that a predictable storm would inundate one of their major cities. They also know that if such a catastrophe did occur, some individuals might be left behind to die - no system is perfect - but that no Dutch government would forget several hundred thousand of its own citizens who lacked the money and the transport to get themselves out of harm's way.

Other countries are simply stunned by the scenes of official incompetence and social collapse in the United States that have been playing on their television screens. They already knew that the giant had feet of clay: a Government that can make such a mess of a minor colonial war can also make a mess of disaster relief.

But they are shocked by the fact that almost all the victims belong to the black underclass.

That is not Bush's fault (though he has not tried very hard to change the old realities of race in America). He will, however, get the blame for it, and the blame may not be expressed solely in words.

The last time the United States saw the same combination of rising casualties in a futile foreign war and a heightened consciousness among black Americans of just how little of the country's wealth and opportunity had come their way, it was 1965-68, and American cities burned.

With luck, they will not burn again. But similar situations produce similar patterns, and suddenly the situation in the United States begins to resemble the mid-60s. The anger of black Americans, the humiliation felt by many Americans of every colour, and the existing unhappiness about the war in Iraq may add up to a lever long enough to move the country.

America's reputation has not been so low in the world since the Johnson and Nixon presidencies of 1963-73, but few foreigners really want to see the United States humiliated. What they want is a better America, closer to its own ideals both in its treatment of its own citizens and in its behaviour in the wider world. Just about the same thing that most Americans want.

Lies can be defeated by the truth, and good can come out of evil.

The US has taken the wrong road abroad in trying to establish American hegemony in the world, and it has abandoned many of its own citizens at home. These things can be fixed, but only Americans can fix them. At last, an opportunity has presented itself.

* Gwynne Dyer is a London-based independent journalist whose articles are published in 45 countries.