People comfort each other after a candlelight vigil for the victims of the mass shooting in Thousand Oaks. Photo / AP
People comfort each other after a candlelight vigil for the victims of the mass shooting in Thousand Oaks. Photo / AP
Newly ascendant Democrats are promising congressional action on gun control amid a rash of mass shootings, including a late-night assault at a California bar that killed 12 people.
Measures including expanded background checks and a ban on assault-style weapons are likely to reach the House floor when Democrats retake control after eight years of Republican rule.
"The American people deserve real action to end the daily epidemic of gun violence that is stealing the lives of our children on campuses, in places of worship and on our streets," said Rep. Nancy Pelosi of California, the Democratic leader who is running for a second stint as House speaker.
Pelosi vowed to push for a range of actions to stem gun violence, including restrictions on high-capacity magazines and a measure allowing temporary removal of guns from people deemed an imminent risk to themselves or others.
The measures could win approval in the Democratic-controlled House next year but will face opposition from the Republican-controlled Senate and the White House, where President Donald Trump has promised to "protect the Second Amendment."
Still, gun control advocates believe they have the political momentum to make guns a central issue next year.
The political calculus on guns is changing, said Democratic Rep. Ted Deutch, whose Florida district includes the Parkland high school where 17 people were killed in February.
"We saw it start on Tuesday and we're going to see it accelerate in January," he said.
Gun control was a major issue even before the most recent shootings. Lawmakers debated action following the Parkland attack and a 2017 shooting in Las Vegas that left 58 dead, and ultimately took modest steps to boost school safety funds and improve compliance with the federal background check system for gun purchases.
The Democrats' new majority includes dozens of candidates who support gun control, including Lucy McBath in Georgia, whose 17-year-old son was fatally shot in 2012 and who made gun violence the centerpiece of her campaign
At least 17 newly elected House Democrats back stricter gun laws, including Jennifer Wexton, Abigail Spanberger and Elaine Luria in Virginia, who defeated incumbents backed by the National Rifle Association. In Colorado, Democrat Jason Crow beat GOP Rep. Mike Coffman, who received an A rating from the NRA and more than $37,000 in campaign contributions from the group.
"I do think there's new energy" on gun issues, even before the California assault late Wednesday night and an Oct. 27 shooting that killed 11 people at a Pittsburgh synagogue, said Kris Brown, co-president of the Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence.
"Our base is worked up, and people are reacting in a positive way at the ballot box," said Brown, who campaigned with the three Virginia Democrats in the final week alongside a stream of volunteers. "A large number of folks showed up and knocked on doors and said they finally have a candidate who will do something about gun violence," she said.
Wexton, Spanberger and Luria all made gun violence a central issue in their campaigns — disproving the notion that gun control is a "third rail" of politics that Democrats should not talk about, Brown said. "We're finding candidates who aren't afraid to talk about this issue," she said.
People gather to pray for the victims of the mass shooting during a candlelight vigil in Thousand Oaks, California. Photo / AP
Spending to support candidates backing tougher gun control surged this year, even as campaign spending by the NRA declined. Everytown for Gun Safety, a group founded by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, pledged $30 million for this year's elections and continued to put new money into competitive races in the final days. A political action committee formed by Gabby Giffords, the former Arizona congresswoman wounded in a shooting, spent nearly $5 million.
Sixty-one percent of voters who responded to VoteCast, a survey of the electorate conducted by The Associated Press, said they support stricter gun laws, compared with 8 percent who said they should be loosened. Eighty-six percent of those supporting Democratic candidates backed stricter gun laws, along with 34 percent of those who supported Republicans.
McBath said her victory over Republican Rep. Karen Handel sent a strong message to the country. "Absolutely nothing — no politician & no special interest — is more powerful than a mother on a mission," she said in a tweet.
McBath, an African-American, became a spokeswoman for Everytown for Gun Safety after her son was slain at a Florida gas station by a white man angry over the loud music the black teenager and his friends had been playing in their car.
While encouraged by the election results, gun control advocates know that getting any kind of weapons or ammunition ban signed into law will be difficult if not impossible in the next Congress.
Republicans expanded their Senate majority Tuesday and Trump remains a favored ally of the NRA.
But if the House votes to approve gun control and a bill is pending in the Senate, "it's harder to ignore," Brown said. "We can keep the pressure on."
Deutch said gun control opponents would be wise to heed Tuesday's results.
For years, GOP lawmakers thought they could avoid talking about gun control while accepting campaign contributions from the NRA and promoting an A rating from the group, he said. "They learned this week that just won't work anymore," Deutch said.
High-fatality shootings on rise
Thursday's massacre in Thousand Oaks, California, was the worst shooting incident in the United States in ... a bit over a week.
There's an ongoing debate about whether shooting incidents generally are becoming more frequent.
The rate of violent crime in the US has dropped significantly since the late 1980s and early 1990s and, despite some political rhetoric, remains near all-time lows.
But there's little question that the frequency of high-fatality mass shootings - for our purposes, incidents in which at least 10 people are killed - has increased.
Mother Jones magazine has tracked mass shootings since 1982, including any incident in which at least four people were killed. Its database includes information on the shooting, such as the shooter's demographic information, apparent motive and weapon of choice.
From 1984 to 2004, there was an incident in which at least 10 people were killed about once every four years.
Over the past four years, there have been eight. There have been four such incidents this year alone.
The shooter in Thousand Oaks apparently used a handgun, uncommon for recent shootings. Since the mass shooting at a movie theatre in Aurora, Colorado, in 2012, most of the incidents in which at least 10 people were killed have included the use of deadlier weapons, such as a semiautomatic rifle (eight of 10 incidents) or a shotgun (four of 10 incidents), often in addition to a handgun (7 of 10 incidents).
Since the assault weapons ban expired in 2004, there have been 14 incidents in which at least 10 people have been killed, eight of them involving the use of a semiautomatic rifle.
Three prior to Thousand Oaks involved only a semiautomatic handgun, according to Mother Jones' data.
