Covid-19 vaccinations for the youngest children just might be a step closer.
Moderna intends to seek US authorisation for child-sized shots, releasing early study results Wednesday that suggest the two small doses work in tots younger than 6. Within weeks, competitor Pfizer hopes to learn if three of its even lower-dose shots do, too.
Here's what is known so far, and what's next before the US's 18 million children under 5 can become eligible for vaccination.
Moderna says tots as young as 6 months developed high levels of virus-fighting antibodies from shots containing a quarter of the dose given to adults. Full study results are yet to come but the early findings suggest the vaccine may protect against severe illness in kids just like it does in adults.
One complication: Moderna's study was conducted during the Omicron surge, and none of the Covid-19 vaccines protect as well against infection with that super-contagious mutant — at any age — as they do against earlier variants.
There were no severe illnesses in the kid study. But sure enough, the vaccine proved just under 44 per cent effective at preventing milder infections in tots up to age 2, and nearly 38 per cent effective in the preschoolers.
The vaccine made by Pfizer and its partner BioNTech is the only one currently available for children in the US. Those 12 and older get adult-strength shots and 5- to 11-year-olds receive a third of that dose.
Pfizer is testing even smaller shots, a tenth of the adult dose, for childrens under 5. Early results showed two shots produced enough antibodies to protect babies and toddlers but fell short for preschoolers.
Children's immature immune systems often require multiple doses of vaccines to properly protect against other diseases. So rather than testing a higher dose, Pfizer gave children a third shot. Results are expected in early April.
What's next?
Once the Food and Drug Administration has an application from one or both companies, it's expected to publicly debate the evidence with its scientific advisers. If FDA authorises shots for the littlest children, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention then will convene its own experts before recommending if all youngsters need them — or only those at higher risk from Covid-19.
While cases are dropping for now in the US, other countries are seeing increases. A lull could be "the best time to get immunised because then you'll be protected by the time the next surge starts," said Dr Bill Muller of Northwestern University, a researcher for Moderna's paediatric studies.
Why do children need a vaccine?
While Covid-19 generally isn't as dangerous in youngsters as adults, some do become severely ill or even die. About 400 children younger than 5 have died from Covid-19 since the pandemic's start, according to the CDC. The omicron variant hit children especially hard, with those under 5 hospitalised at higher rates than at the peak of the previous delta surge, the CDC found.
About 57 per cent of those ages 12 to 17 have had two Pfizer doses so far, and 27 per cent of those 5 to 11.
The FDA limits Moderna's vaccine to adults although it's used in children as young as 6 in certain other countries. The FDA is looking into a very rare side effect — heart inflammation — that sometimes occurs in teens and young adults, mostly males.
Moderna is giving the FDA updated safety information that it says backs adult-size doses for 12- to 17-year-olds, and also is seeking authorisation to use half that dose in 6- to 11-year-olds. Regulators are expected to consider all three age groups at once.