“We must express our condemnation for this behaviour that damages regional peace and stability,” Sun Li-fang, a spokesperson for the Taiwanese ministry, said at the briefing.
The last time China held a major drill in multiple locations around Taiwan was in April 2023, after Kevin McCarthy, then the speaker of the US House of Representatives, met with the president of Taiwan at the time, Tsai Ing-wen. Beijing opposes such exchanges with the island’s leaders.
China conducted the largest of such exercises in recent years in August 2022 to protest the visit to Taiwan of Nancy Pelosi, who was the House speaker at the time. Those drills, which included the firing of Chinese missiles near and over Taiwan, covered six swaths of sea surrounding the island, three of which appeared to overlap with areas that Taiwan regards as its territorial waters. Those exercises lasted four days, and China conducted additional exercises for several days after.
Li Xi, a spokesperson of the Eastern Theatre Command of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, said the latest exercises served as “strong punishment” for “Taiwan independence forces”, according to Chinese state media, and “a stern warning against the interference and provocation by external forces”, a reference to the United States.
‘Nailed to the pillar of shame’
Even as Lai pledged to protect Taiwan in his speech, he had sought to strike a conciliatory note in other ways, signalling that he remained open to holding talks with Beijing — which China had frozen in 2016 — and to resuming cross-strait tourism.
But China took offence to Lai’s assertion that the sides were equal — he had said that they “are not subordinate to each other” — and his emphasis on Taiwan’s democratic identity and warnings against threats from China.
After the speech, Beijing accused Lai of promoting formal independence for Taiwan and said the new president was more dangerous than his predecessors. Wang Yi, China’s top foreign policy official, said this week: “The ugly acts of Lai Ching-te and others who betray the nation and their ancestors is disgraceful,” according to China’s Foreign Ministry. “All Taiwan independence separatists will be nailed to the pillar of shame in history.”
Taiwanese officials and military experts had been expecting China to make a show of military force after Lai’s inauguration. Ma Chen-kun, a professor at Taiwan’s National Defense University, said the People’s Liberation Army was likely to continue exerting its presence, including around the Kinmen and Matsu islands close to the Chinese mainland.
Beijing, said Ja Ian Chong, an associate professor of political science at the National University of Singapore, “seems resolved to put pressure on Taiwan, regardless of what Lai said or didn’t say” in his speech.
Blockade tactic
The exercises could teach the People’s Liberation Army valuable lessons about how to impose a possible “quarantine” or blockade around Taiwan. Many experts believe that if the Chinese government tries to force Taiwan to accept unification, it may first try using a ring of military forces to severely restrict air and sea access to the island.
Chieh Chung, an adjunct assistant professor of strategic studies at Tamkang University in Taiwan, said that the scope and nature of the exercises China has announced indicated that the drill was “based on various stages of an invasion of Taiwan”. The exercise could be a way to assess including Taiwan’s outlying islands in any attempt at a blockade, he said. Unlike in the larger exercises China conducted in the last two years, this week’s might feature training to seize one of those islands, Chieh said.
The drills could also provide different branches of the People’s Liberation Army and the Chinese coast guard with an opportunity to coordinate their forces. The coast guard in Fujian, the coastal province facing Taiwan, announced that it would conduct a “comprehensive law enforcement exercise” around the islands of Wuqiu and Dongyin, Chinese state media said.
“The simultaneous conduct of the law enforcement activity with the PLA military exercise further allows China to train its PLA to engage in coordinated activities with its coast guard across a large area around Taiwan,” said Bonny Lin, a senior fellow for Asian security at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.
“This could be invaluable experience for a range of operations against Taiwan,” added Lin, who is the lead author of a study to be published this month on how China could impose a maritime quarantine around Taiwan.
Lai visited a Taiwanese marine corps brigade near Taipei on Thursday. In his published remarks, he did not mention the Chinese exercises, but sounded a note of defiance.
“At this moment, the international community is paying a great deal of attention to democratic Taiwan,” Lai said, according to a statement issued by his office. “Faced with external challenges and threats, we will keep defending the values of freedom and democracy.”
This article originally appeared in The New York Times.
Written by: David Pierson and Amy Chang Chien
Photographs by: Lam Yik Fei and AP
©2024 THE NEW YORK TIMES
