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Home / World

Analysis: Russia rocked by the power of one man's stunning example

By Nicola Lamb analysis
NZ Herald·
3 Feb, 2021 04:00 PM5 mins to read

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Servicemen of the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia) gather at the Red Square to prevent a protest rally in Moscow, Russia. Photo / AP

Servicemen of the Russian National Guard (Rosgvardia) gather at the Red Square to prevent a protest rally in Moscow, Russia. Photo / AP

Opinion

The audacious bravery of Russian anti-corruption activist and opposition leader Alexei Navalny feels as though it is from a different era.

Navalny is not a Mandela or a King - an inspirational figure from the past who suffered for a cause, and who is now remembered and revered from a distance.

He's in the here and now: A resilient man who is clear-eyed about risking his life to challenge his country's repressive and heavy-handed rule.

In recent years there have been courageous people-power protests and whistleblowers, but someone who brazenly challenges an authoritarian regime is rare.

Navalny's supporters have held massive protests across Russia and thousands have been arrested.

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He takes on President Vladimir Putin with the apparent fearlessness of someone with nothing to lose - but that's not the case.

The 44-year-old is a husband and father-of-two with half his life still ahead of him. Most people would opt for a quiet life rather than take on the intimidating modern equivalent of a tsar who has been the power in the land for two decades.

Russian President Putin is under unusual pressure as nationwide protests break out in support of jailed opposition leader Alexei Navalny.

His detention brought together Russians across the country, but how much of a threat does Navalny pose to Putin? pic.twitter.com/oifAmN31Bs

— DW News (@dwnews) February 3, 2021

A Moscow court has sentenced Navalny to more than 2 1/2 years in prison after deciding that he violated the terms of his probation stemming from a 2014 embezzlement conviction that Navalny said was "fabricated".

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The alleged violation occurred as Navalny spent five months recovering in Germany after nearly dying when he was poisoned and evacuated to Berlin in a coma.

Labs in western Europe confirmed the substance as Novichok, a nerve agent developed by the Soviet Union. Bellingcat, an investigative website, found that Navalny had been followed by security agents for years. Navalny discovered that agents applied the nerve agent to his underwear during a hotel operation.

He chose to return to Russia, knowing that he would be locked up.

Navalny's speech from the dock pic.twitter.com/XoBBUODvaP

— Naomi O'Leary (@NaomiOhReally) February 2, 2021


He took the opportunity to lay into Putin in court.

"I participated in the investigation of my own poisoning, and we proved, in fact, that Putin, using Russia's Federal Security Service, was responsible for this attempted murder. And that's driving this thieving little man in his bunker out of his mind...

"He's never participated in any debates or campaigned in an election. Murder is the only way he knows how to fight. He'll go down in history as nothing but a poisoner ... Vladimir the Underpants Poisoner...

"Locking me up isn't difficult. What matters most is why this is happening. This is happening to intimidate large numbers of people. They're imprisoning one person to frighten millions.

"This isn't a demonstration of strength — it's a show of weakness. You can't lock up millions and hundreds of thousands of people. I hope very much that people will realise this. And they will. Because you can't lock up the whole country."

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Like a lot of people with Ukrainian background and Ukraine links I was suspicious of Navalny's intentions and style for quite some time. But in the last four years he has impressively demonstrated again and again that he is serious about challenging Putin and serious about power

— Alexander Clarkson (@APHClarkson) February 2, 2021

Long-time eastern Europe correspondent for the Guardian, Shaun Walker, tweeted: "Sending Navalny to prison for the long haul has to up there with Beslan, jailing [Mikhail] Khodorkovsky, war with Georgia and the annexation of Crimea in terms of major milestones of the Putin era".

The Government has cranked up efforts to squash the protests and no doubt hopes that a lengthy absence of the movement's figurehead will cause its momentum to ebb. Putin has the state security apparatus at hand.

The move puts Navalny out of action before the next presidential election in early 2024. A new study showing very good results for the Russian Covid-19 vaccine suddenly comes in handy for Putin's dealings with other countries.

Even so the regime has had to scramble in a way it is not used to. Navalny and his team have been able to speak to public discontent. They have at least temporarily wrested control of the political agenda and tried to undercut the idea of Putin the Strongman.

Navalny was able to highlight inequality, referring in court to "20 million people living below the poverty line" and "tens of millions living without the slightest prospects for the future". He added: "The only thing growing is the number of billionaires".

And then there's the power of his stunning example and a glimpse of a different way forward.

Why did @navalny return to Russia & imprisonment? He once told me his decisions are simple even if the consequences are "painful."
"Within this chaos...the only guide you have is what you believe in...I think, is this morally right? If it is, I do it" https://t.co/bar3YXc8Ur

— Alec Luhn (@ASLuhn) February 2, 2021

As Russian court hands Navalny sentence, his past and future stand trial too https://t.co/etv9OPLo6q

— Newsweek (@Newsweek) February 3, 2021

Alexei Navalny is going to prison. Can his movement to depose Vladimir Putin survive? https://t.co/V6MeVhIA5o

— Vox (@voxdotcom) February 2, 2021
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