Opinion: Perspective and sound science matter for the Government's response to climate change, DairyNZ chair Jim van der Poel and Beef + Lamb New Zealand (B+LNZ) chair Andrew Morrison write.
DairyNZ and Beef + Lamb NZ are calling on the Government to give farmers a fairer deal by using the latest and best science when setting methane targets.
While New Zealand farmers overall are reducing emissions, we believe agriculture is currently being blamed for a far bigger share of New Zealand's warming than it actually causes.
It's important all sectors play their part including agriculture, transport, energy, towns and cities.
The method the Government uses to calculate emissions data, GWP100, is accurate for carbon dioxide but hugely over-states the warming impact of methane.
That's because methane has a half-life of around 12 years so disappears from the atmosphere much faster than CO2, which can last up to 1000 years.
So, alongside other primary sector organisations, we've written to the Government asking for all Government agencies and independent bodies, such as the Climate Change Commission, to take a split-gas approach when reporting all emissions and delivering emissions budgets.
We believe this would clearly demonstrate that short-lived gases like methane and long-lived gases like CO2 have different warming impacts.
Perspective and sound science matter for the Government's response to climate change.
It's so important we get this right because key climate change decisions are made using that data – including methane targets that impact what farmers can do on-farm.
This doesn't just affect a farm's bottom line but can also have a flow-on effect on mental health and wellbeing.
If farmers aren't able to run successful and sustainable businesses, their contribution to their families, the economy and local communities reduces – affecting the wellbeing of all of New Zealand.
Also, because New Zealand dairy farmers have the lowest carbon footprint for on-farm milk and sheep and beef production for meat, there's no silver bullet to further reduce emissions.
We need new technologies – and the sector is investing millions in Research and Development (R&D) to achieve this.
Listen to Jamie Mackay interview DairyNZ chair Jim van der Poel and B+LNZ chief executive Sam McIvor about He Waka Eke Noa on The Country below:
The focus needs to be on reducing warming
The whole point of reducing emissions for international agreements is to reduce warming – so it's important we have a more accurate picture of what's going on, so we can take the right actions.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change confirms the way emissions are currently calculated, using GWP100, overstates the warming impact of methane by 3-4 times, when methane emissions are stable (as they are in New Zealand).
Since New Zealand's agricultural methane emissions have been stable for almost two decades, since 2005, they're not contributing additional warming each year.
A 2022 paper published in the Nature Journal by 33 scientists also highlights the need for countries to accurately consider the warming impacts of different greenhouse gases when putting forward their targets for emissions reductions.
To address this, we want the Government to adopt a more advanced method (such as GWP*) for calculating and reporting agricultural methane emissions, in line with the recommendations of leading scientists.
We want an appropriate metric that more accurately reflects the different warming impacts of short-lived gases like methane and long-lived gases like CO2.
Relevance of this to the Government's targets
In 2019, our sector won a hard-fought science-based decision with Government for a split gas approach in the Climate Change Response Amendment Act 2019, recognising biogenic methane only needs to reduce and stabilise, not go to net-zero like long-lived gases.
We believe both the 2030 and 2050 methane targets need to be reviewed.
We're listening to farmer views and will ensure the latest scientific findings are taken into account when targets are next reviewed in 2024.
We'll advocate for targets that work for farmers in line with public and customer expectations, technology availability, the competitive market and farmers' own environmental goals.