So, as the Waitaki District Council planned its 30-year vision for the harbour through its harbourmaster planning process under way, it was important to accommodate growth now.
"We need to build populations that are going to be resilient to these sorts of environmental impacts," Dr Agnew said.
"So, if you've got a larger population that is affected by a storm event and it reduces that survival for the year to three-quarters of what it would normally be, a bigger population obviously has a larger pool of birds [and] if they lose more than normal, the population is still going to be OK.
"There's no sense in building lots of tourism operations or whatever and filling the space and then going 'Oh, no, we haven't got any more room for the birds'."
Dr Agnew said she hoped to expand the colony's footprint in the next couple of years.
In 2015, a major storm reduced adult survival rates from the average of 85%, to just 60%.
But the effects of the November storm would not be known until after the birds moulted in April, when a reliable count could be done.
The colony's parent company, Tourism Waitaki, had asked the council to promote Oamaru as "one of the seabird capitals of the world", yet the population at Oamaru remained "fairly small in the grand scheme of things".
At the tourism colony's neighbouring Oamaru Creek Reserve colony — with 300 nesting boxes and more than 120 breeding pairs — there was potential for some form of tourism operation there as well, Dr Agnew said.
It would not, she said, support the up to 410 visitors a night the Oamaru Blue Penguin Colony hosted though. In Dr Agnew's submission to the Oamaru Harbour masterplan process, she also called for an Otago shag viewing platform and for a webcam, streaming either to the colony's or the council's website, for the rare endemic seabirds nesting on Sumpter Wharf.
hamish.maclean@odt.co.nz