Hawke's Bay Regional Council's monthly public climate briefing last Thursday in Napier focused on the wetter than normal summer.
River and groundwater levels on the Heretaunga Plains and Ruataniwha Plains have recovered after the dry October, which had only half its normal rainfall, and remained at normal or above normal levels since December.
"The expected switch to El Niño hasn't happened so the climate is still in a neutral phase," HBRC's air quality scientist Dr Kathleen Kozyniak said. "The sea surface around New Zealand is warm so that is having the most influence on our weather, and the easterly and north-easterly winds we've had in recent months have been warmer coming off the sea."
She says that NIWA's forecast to April is for temperatures to be above average and rainfall near normal. There is a chance of tropical cyclones moving down and affecting the east coast.
This summer soil moisture levels have been up, with most of the regional council's monitoring indicating they are well above where they typically sit at this time of year.