Waikato farmer Peter Brown's Ohinewai dairy farm was as dry as a bone after being hit hard by the drought. Photo / Brett Phibbs
Waikato farmer Peter Brown's Ohinewai dairy farm was as dry as a bone after being hit hard by the drought. Photo / Brett Phibbs
Two experts didn't predict this summer's drought - but got closer than an astrologer.
Two professional weather forecasters got close to predicting the record hot, dry summer, but a "motivational astrologer" was adrift.
On the eve of summer, the Herald invited three forecasters - WeatherWatch's Philip Duncan, Niwa climate scientist Georgina Griffiths, and motivational astrologer Gigi Sosnoski - to say what they thought wasin store for the next three months.
After a cloudy 2011/12 summer, Mr Duncan said this year would be better, and believed dry, hot spells would be "balanced by some rain".
Given that vast swathes of the country have been left parched, and the entire North Island now declared a drought zone, he admits he was off the mark slightly.
But WeatherWatch wasn't alone in not forseeing just how dry the summer would be.
Ms Sosnoski was accurate in saying December would be a "dry, enjoyable time", but fell away by saying that Mars would be in Aquarius in January, which would bring more thunder and lightning than usual. She was also misguided about February, predicting it could be "extra wet".
The most accurate of the trio was Niwa's expert climatologist. Mrs Griffiths predicted a "normal to dry summer" for the north and east - with Gisborne, Hawkes Bay, Wairarapa, Bay of Plenty, Taupo, Waikato, Northland and Auckland all looking for "that dryish summer flavour".
