Nicoll said New Zealanders were still reluctant to shell out for big-ticket items, and vehicle imports suffered, with weakness even more pronounced for electric cars.
“In trend terms, both sides of trade are flat. As New Zealand awaits stronger demand from abroad, export growth will stay slow.
“Export growth in the Chinese market has been particularly bothersome this year.”
Nicoll said easing monetary policy, with the Official Cash Rate (OCR) coming down, will boost local demand for international goods, and business demand for intermediate goods, so consumers may soon feel ready to spend with more vigour.
Goods imports fell by $67m or 0.9% to $7.1b.
Fruit exports were up $233m compared with September 2023.
Stats NZ said kiwifruit exports rose $212m or 117% and apple exports were up by $7.3m or 23%.
Milk powder, butter and cheese exports were up by $147m.
Logs, wood and machinery export values were also up.
Crude oil, casein, aluminium and vegetable fat exports were down year on year.