New Zealand export log prices slid to a five-month low in June as returns were hurt by a stronger local currency and an increase in shipping costs.
The average wharf gate price for New Zealand A-grade logs dropped to $116 in June, from $120 a tonne in May, according to AgriHQ's monthly survey of exporters, forest owners and saw millers. That's the lowest level since January's $115 a tonne.
Shipping costs to China, the country's largest log export market, rose this month to US$16.20/JAS, from US$14.70/JAS last month (JAS is a trade industry benchmark), following an increase in oil prices and a decline in ship visits as demand waned for fertiliser and palm kernel. The kiwi also strengthened 4 per cent during the month after the Reserve Bank refrained from cutting interest rates, making the nation's log exports less competitive.
The in-market price of A-grade logs in China advanced to US$120/JAS from US$113/JAS last month even as inventory levels on Chinese ports increased to 3.8 million cubic metres from 3.6 million m3 last month. Some 50,000 m3 per day is being taken from ports although AgriHQ expects demand to decline in coming months.
"Cracks are slowly emerging in the Chinese log market, with the impressive market prices that have been present over the past few months likely to subside as we progress towards the middle months of the year," AgriHQ analysts Reece Brick and Shaye Lee said in their report.