Conservationists in the central North Island warn that native bird populations are due to "take an epic hammering" in spring when predator populations balloon.
Staff of the Forest Lifeforce Restoration Trust said they've seen a significant increase in rat numbers on their two properties in inland Hawke's Bay, a precursor to spikes in the number of stoats, ferrets, possums and other pest or predator species.
Rats are being detected at rates of up to 58 per cent, about twice as many as would normally be detected in August, when counts are usually conducted. This early monitoring was in response to warning signs at the back end of last year, when heavy fruiting of several plant species signalled the multi-species mast event taking place at the moment.
Peraxilla tetrapetala, or red mistletoe, was one of the species that flowered unusually early last year. It is known in te reo as pikirangi, pirirangi or roeroe. It is a parasitic shrub up to 1m tall with smooth leaves which normally only flowers around Christmas time. Numbers have increased markedly at the Trust's property in the Maungataniwha Native Forest and by early November the forest floor beneath host trees was already littered with flowers.
Elaeocarpus dentatus, known in te reo as hinau or whinau, also flowered heavily. It is common at Maungataniwha and has plump berries during the winter which can escalate rat numbers through the colder months into spring.