Scott Barrett could be moved to the blindside for the England test. Photo / Photosport
By Liam Napier in London
Blindside, hooker and right wing loom as the toughest selection decisions as the All Blacks prepare to reveal their first-choice hand against England.
The All Blacks could make as many as nine changes to the starting team that recovered from a 50-minute scoreless period toeventually subdue Scotland in Edinburgh and improve their recent record to six successive wins.
This week, there is no room for experimentation.
Of all this year’s tests, England on their home patch is an occasion every All Black wants to savour.
Coaches Ian Foster, Jason Ryan and Joe Schmidt will be forced to exclude many hopeful contenders, some of whom have played leading roles this season.
“There’s a few knocks on the door and a few keen players,” Foster said. “The only way you win big games is if all 35 are on and connected for the week.
“There will be some disappointed players but all year we’ve talked a lot about our squad, the depth of it. I feel like we’ve been giving people opportunities but we’ve got a pretty clear plan for what we’ll do on [Sunday]. We’re excited by it, and everyone is in.”
After two impressive starts at second five-eighth this season, Jordie Barrett’s combative physicality must be embraced in the midfield alongside Rieko Ioane.
Selecting that combination will probably involve leaving David Havili, who has started seven tests at No 12 this year, out of the squad, with Anton Lienert-Brown’s versatility likely to be favoured on the bench.
Richie Mo’unga appears certain to regain the first-five reins after a week off in Edinburgh.
Jordie Barrett’s expected switch to No 12 should open the door for brother Beauden to slide back to fullback where he has looked more at home while enjoying the added time and space.
Mark Telea’s two-try debut against Scotland, and Foster’s glowing praise of his efforts since, seemingly gives him the inside running to retain the right wing role from Sevu Reece.
Aaron Smith will be reinstated at halfback and TJ Perenara’s composed return off the bench last week - in his first test for a year - should earn him the deputy role ahead of Finlay Christie.
Up front decisions become more complex.
Brodie Retallick’s return from a two-match suspension for his 100th test poses a welcome selection headache.
Promoting Retallick’s fresh frame straight into the starting team for the final test of the year would make sense - and that could lead to Scott Barrett switching to blindside.
“He’s pretty keen,” Foster said of Retallick. “I think he assumes he’s playing. He had all his family around me last night saying how excited they were about his 100th test. He’s jumping out of his skin and he’s probably got a reasonably good chance.”
While parallels are sure to be drawn between Barrett’s first start for the All Blacks at blindside - in the 2019 World Cup semifinal loss to England – and this week, the Crusaders captain has twice worn the six jersey this season, in victories against Ireland and the Wallabies.
Starting Barrett at six would allow the All Blacks to challenge England’s lineout. He could then switch to lock later in the match with Shannon Frizell’s powerful presence potentially injected as England’s sizeable pack begins to tire.
That approach may, however, leave the All Blacks initially light of notable ball carriers. This was an area England brutally exposed the last time they met in the Yokohama semifinal.
That point the All Blacks will ponder with their starting hooker, too, after rotating Samisoni Taukei’aho and Codie Taylor through the last four tests.
Taukei’aho equalled Dane Coles’ record for most tries (seven) in a season from an All Blacks forward when he crashed over in the opening minutes against Scotland. Utilising Taukei’aho in this fashion from the outset therefore presents a compelling case.
While Taukei’aho’s destructive ball carrying brings a different dimension to the pack, and he is among the All Blacks most influential, consistent performers this season, that will be weighed against Taylor’s strong scrummaging and late-season revival after he impressed off the bench last week.
Whether it’s Taukei’aho or Taylor, they will start in the front row alongside favoured props Ethan de Groot and Tyrel Lomax, the latter well rested following a week off.
This week’s team is significant not solely for the scalp at stake at Twickenham.
By revealing their evolving incumbents, the All Blacks will offer the most telling insight to the preferences and combinations they will carry into next year’s World Cup.
World Rugby snub the All Blacks:
It should be no surprise, given the year they have endured, that no All Black is included in World Rugby’s award nominations released this week. Individuals should not be exclusively judged on team performances, though.
While it’s heartening four Black Ferns and Wayne Smith are recognised for their stunning success, Ardie Savea should have been a dead-cert inclusion for men’s player of the year – particularly when Springboks centre Lukhanyo Am has played five tests this season due to injury.
The men’s breakthrough player selection sparks considerable debate, too, with England’s Henry Arundell playing all of 28 minutes.
Taukei’aho is seemingly ruled out after debuting in July 2021, yet Irish counterpart Dan Sheehan played his first test last November, so where is the consistency?
Betting tip:
Record: 15/33 ($20.5)
I should know better by now than to proclaim a betting roll. Last week’s run came to a grinding halt with France blowing Canada away in the third-place playoff. This week I’m going to sit on the fence for the Twickenham test and suggest either team by 7.5 or less option paying $2.25.