However, it never pays to count out Dixon, as he proved in 2015, when he came from behind to snatch the title from Juan Pablo Montoya via a countback of race wins.
There is a maximum of 54 points per race weekend and Dixon must reduce Palou’s lead by at least 20 points at Portland if he wants a chance of battling for the title at Laguna Seca in eight days.
If Dixon wins, Chip Ganassi teammate Palou needs to finish on the podium to clinch the 2023 championship.
“He [Palou] definitely has a healthy buffer, that’s for sure. But as we’ve seen in past years, you can’t rely on anything. It’ll be hard to close the gap, as he’s been consistent all year, not finishing outside the top 10.
“Anything can happen this weekend and the next, so we’ll keep fighting,” said Dixon.
The IndyCar title has been decided on the last race of the season for the past 17 years and it could still happen in 2023. However, ever the pragmatic racer, Dixon will compete for the win but is focused on Chip Ganassi claiming the title.
“The two wins have been great but it’s more about the team and where we’re at now. The No 10 car [Palou] has got it right all season and have done a good job. We’re first and second at the moment, and from a team point of view, that’s really important,” said Dixon.
The Kiwi has finished on the podium at Portland the past two years, so it’s a track where he has excelled. The first practice hit-out didn’t quite go according to plan, with the 43-year-old posting only the 19th-fastest time.
“The car wasn’t that good on the blacks [tyre], and when we went to the reds [tyre], it was a bit weird.
“We didn’t even get a better time, which is a bit odd, as normally you’d be a second a lap faster.
“The car seems pretty competitive. In qualifying at the moment, if you make one small mistake, you don’t make the cut [fast six]. If we do get into the fast six, I think we could win.
“Last time here, we made a mistake in qualifying and started 16th but still managed to finish third. The car’s good long distance and I just have to make sure I get qualifying right,” said Dixon.