With Team NZ on match point in the America's Cup, today looms as a major opportunity to retain the Auld Mug. Mark Orams and Cheree Kinnear preview all of the news ahead of what will be a dramatic day of racing on Course A. Video / NZ Herald / Getty Images / Photosport
OPINION:
Speed is king.
It has become obvious that Team New Zealand have the faster boat in this America's Cup and, when behind, can remain in striking distance of Luna Rossa.
Luna Rossa have led in the last three races but the Kiwis were able to hang in there andpounce when an opportunity arose.
In contrast, once Team NZ are in front they can drop Luna Rossa very quickly.
One more win gives Team New Zealand the America's Cup victory so what can the Italians do to overcome this speed disadvantage and stay in the hunt?
For Luna Rossa to win a race they have to sail perfectly, which is very difficult to do in sailboat racing. Maybe something like a wrong sail choice on Te Rehutai in a crossover wind situation would help.
Luna Rossa have their work cut out - at 6-3 down in the America's Cup Match. Photo / Getty Images
But I guess Team NZ can take a conservative approach whereas Luna Rossa have to be aggressive and can't make a mistake.
The weather prediction models suggest the wind will shift around to the east overnight, and be east or north-east by race time. The prediction is for 10-15 knots of wind.
This means the racecourse decision by regatta director Iain Murray will play a big part.
Emirates Team New Zealand and Luna Rossa Prada Pirelli Team in the start build up for race eight on day five of the America's Cup. Photo / Photosport
He could please the New Zealand public and sail Course C or D. Or he could play a conservative game and go to Course E further out where there will be a steadier breeze.
I think the inner harbour favours Luna Rossa, because the conditions are more random.
And it would be great for the racing to finish in front of a crowd at North Head, Bastion Point and Tamaki Drive.
So yes, I would love to see them sail there, but the wind has to be right.
In summary, momentum is clearly on New Zealand's side. They have won the last four races. Slowly, the Italians must be getting deflated.
Luna Rossa co-helmsmen Francesco Bruni and Jimmy Spithill at the post-race press conference. Photo / Getty Images
This is a very different look to San Francisco, where New Zealand fell to the famous Oracle Team USA comeback. Team NZ's boat is faster, the Italian boat is maxed out.
