Anyone looking at the 2015 Super Rugby points table would rate the Brumbies to spoil the Blues opening season foray on to Eden Park on Friday night in Auckland.
They've claimed as many wins as the Blues have points from this year's Super Rugby series and bring a concerted organisation to their work under Stephen Larkham's coaching command.
The Brumbies have to make the journey away from their Canberra headquarters at GIO Stadium but they'll appreciate the surface at Eden Park on Friday and in the second-placed team against last contest, they will be favoured.
But when they go through their final debrief, someone should mention the pitfalls this game poses for an unwary or self-assured side.
In 2012, the Brumbies were in a similar position, heading to Eden Park needing a win to qualify against a dispirited group who had won only three games in Pat Lam's final year as coach.