It's the same every year; judgement calls made in February and March.
For the past 13 seasons, another predictable outcome is that the Crusaders will make the playoffs, despite dire predictions in the early rounds. I noted on several forums that a few "fans" were picking that Todd Blackadder would be the first kiwi Super Rugby coach to be sacked mid-season.
While I don't always agree with the former All Black captain's selections, clearly he must have done a few things right to get his team to the top of the New Zealand Conference.
But the haters are gonna hate and there are plenty predicting and still hoping for the Crusaders demise. Fair enough. The Waratahs are the clear title favourites and the cold harsh reality is that while the Crusaders came close in 2011 and in the semi finals last year, they haven't won since 2008.
I'm fascinated by the "sack Blackadder" calls. Sir Graham Henry between 1996 and 1998 is the only other coach with a 100% strike rate for making the playoffs - of course he also picked up a couple of titles.
Many argue that Blackadder has the best players at his disposal. It isn't exactly the shabbiest of rosters. But then Kieran Read and Richie McCaw have barely shared game time and Daniel Carter has only just returned to the fray. The much maligned Colin Slade hasn't gone too badly in his absence.
Title success has justifiably created a rod for the Crusader backs. They are judged by a higher standard. Presumably, if they did fail to make the playoffs, then Blackadder's future would look a little shaky. Sacking a coach that has made the playoffs would set a very dangerous precedent and make the franchise's future look shaky.