Itoje is one of 13 players in England’s match-day squad who played in the 32-12 loss to South Africa in the World Cup final in Japan in 2019. England were coming off one of the greatest all-round performances in their history - the 19-7 victory over New Zealand in the semifinals - and couldn’t sustain that level a week later as they were blown away up front in the first half and picked apart out wide in the second half.
While the English have stood still in the intervening four years - some might say they’ve regressed - they’ve still made to it the semifinals again, for the sixth time in 10 editions. They’re flying the flag for the northern hemisphere once more, albeit by virtue of a kind draw that has seen them avoid any major rugby nation.
Until now.
The Boks are the same tough, mean, well-run machine as in 2019, when they won the world title for a record-tying third time. The forwards are still as uncompromising as ever - a match for anyone - but they’ve a more polished operation out wide these days, underlined by the presence of an attacking first five in the form of Manie Libbok.
The threats are everywhere and they have a game plan come rain or shine - and the weather might be wet in Saint-Denis on Saturday night.
England, though, can never be discounted at a Rugby World Cup - even if that’s exactly what many were doing ahead of the tournament, which the team entered on a run of just four wins in their previous 13 games.
Steve Borthwick, England’s coach of less than a year, always warned the critics to judge his players at the World Cup, not before. Maybe he was right all along because they are this tournament’s only unbeaten team. This is his biggest test, however, and he’ll need to come up with a plan to rattle the experienced Springboks, who have 15 survivors from that title match in Yokohama four years ago.
“We know how good England are, how they play in World Cups, and the team has changed and we’ve seen how hard they work,” South Africa captain Siya Kolisi said.
“We know exactly what they are going to bring and the motivation they have.”
History is on the side of the Boks, whose only loss in five World Cup meetings with England - which includes wins for South Africa in the 2007 and 2019 finals - came in a pool game in 2003. Indeed, that is the only match where England have scored a try against South Africa in the tournament.
Boks coach Jacques Nienaber appears to have settled on his best team - “continuity in team selection builds momentum and confidence within the group,” he said on Thursday - explaining why he has kept faith with the line-up that started the 29-28 win over France in the quarterfinals.
That includes halfback Cobus Reinach, who was the subject of a death threat this week.
“From a medical point of view, there was no reason to change,” Nienaber said of his team selection, “and from a performance point of view, there wasn’t any reason to change.”
England have tinkered though, freshening the pack with two changes as lock George Martin comes in for just his ninth cap and prop Joe Marler is recalled to give more ballast in the scrum.
Marcus Smith was unavailable after failing a head injury assessment in the wake of the 30-24 quarter-final win over Fiji but was unlikely to keep his place at fullback anyway. Freddie Steward returns at No 15 as a more reliable presence under the high ball, which could be vital given the Springboks’ effective kicking game. - AP
What is the history between South Africa v England?
South Africa lead 27-2-16 overall, 4-1 at Rugby World Cups.
What are the odds for South Africa v England?
England $4.16, South Africa $1.16
How to watch South Africa v England?
Sky Sport 1 from 7.45am Sunday. You can also listen to live commentary with Elliott Smith on Gold Sport.
South Africa v England prediction
South Africa 22 England 9
Line-ups for South Africa v England
England: Freddie Steward, Jonny May, Joe Marchant, Manu Tuilagi, Elliot Daly, Owen Farrell (captain), Alex Mitchell; Ben Earl, Tom Curry, Courtney Lawes, George Martin, Maro Itoje, Dan Cole, Jamie George, Joe Marler. Reserves: Theo Dan, Ellis Genge, Kyle Sinckler, Ollie Chessum, Billy Vunipola, Danny Care, George Ford, Ollie Lawrence.
South Africa: Damian Willemse, Kurt-Lee Arendse, Jesse Kriel, Damian de Allende, Cheslin Kolbe, Manie Libbok, Cobus Reinach; Duane Vermeulen, Pieter-Steph du Toit, Siya Kolisi (captain), Franco Mostert, Eben Etzebeth, Frans Malherbe, Bongi Mbonambi, Steven Kitshoff. Reserves: Deon Fourie, Ox Nche, Vincent Koch, RG Snyman, Kwagga Smith, Faf de Klerk, Handre Pollard, Willie le Roux.
Roads to the semifinals
England
England 27 Argentina 10
England 34 Japan 12
England 71 Chile 0
England 18 Samoa 17
England 30 Fiji 24
South Africa
South Africa 18 Scotland 3
South Africa 70 Romania 0
South Africa 8 Ireland 13
South Africa 49 Tonga 18
South Africa 29 France 28
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