PROPS
The certainties: Nepo Laulala, Owen Franks, Angus Ta'avao, Ofa Tu'ungafasi, Joe Moody.
The contenders: None…because illness wrecked Karl Tu'inukuafe's hopes.
LOCKS
The certainties: Brodie Retallick, Sam Whitelock, Patrick Tuipulotu.
The contenders: None
LOCK/LOOSE FORWARD
The certainty: Scott Barrett
The candidates: Jackson Hemopo v Vaea Fifita. On the face of it, Fifita fits the bill because he is more of a specialist blindside. But Hemopo is the more reliable, has a test-style combativeness, and offers better lock cover which is important as the selectors keep talking about Scott Barrett's importance as a blindside candidate. We're guessing Barrett might start one of the lesser pool games at No. 6, to get more familiar with the role.
LOOSE FORWARDS
The certainties: Ardie Savea, Sam Cane, Kieran Read.
The contenders: Matt Todd, Luke Jacobson, Shannon Frizell, Liam Squire, Dalton Papalii…the indications are that Squire is reluctant, which is not desirable in a World Cup squad.
HALFBACKS
The certainties: Aaron Smith, TJ Perenara, Brad Weber
The contenders: None
FIRST FIVE-EIGHTHS
The certainty: Richie Mo'unga
The contender: Josh Ioane…whether to take a back-up specialist No. 10 remains a huge debating point. We say yes but suspect the selectors will say no.
FIRST FIVE-EIGHTH/FULLBACK
The certainty: Beauden Barrett
MIDFIELD
The certainties: Sonny Bill Williams, Anton Lienert-Brown, Jack Goodhue
The contenders: It's Ryan Crotty v Ngani Laumape…the selectors are sure to go for the immaculate Crotty if fit.
WINGS
The certainties: None
The contenders: Rieko Ioane v Sevu Reece v George Bridge…they will probably take three specialists because none of the other backs are good enough to start a big test on the wing.
FULLBACK/UTILITY
The contenders: Ben Smith v Jordie Barrett v Braydon Ennor…they will have trouble letting the fading Ben Smith go.
So the team is.- B. Barrett, J. Barrett, B. Smith, Ioane, Reece, Bridge, Williams, Lienert-Brown, Crotty, Goodhue, Mo'unga, A. Smith, Perenara, Weber; Read (c), Cane, Todd, Savea, Hemopo, S. Barrett, Retallick, Whitelock, Tuipulotu, Laulala, Franks, Ta'avao, Tu'ungafasi, Moody, Coles, Taylor, Coltman.