For all the talk of Wales's woeful record against New Zealand in not having beaten them since 1953, it is easily forgotten that the last time the two teams met in Cardiff in November 2014, Wales were winning 16-15 with little more than 10 minutes remaining.
The All Blacks then altered their tactics and used a kicking game to devastating effect in scoring three tries to win 34-16, but it does at least give Wales something to cling on to as they approach the first test in Auckland tomorrow.
"You would hope that it is tight and it comes down to the latter stages," said assistant coach Neil Jenkins. "The last few times we have played the All Blacks we have been with them with about 15 minutes to go, but then they have constantly showed why they are the best side in the world. They go away from you in the last 10 to 15 minutes. They just keep coming and can score tries so quickly."
Jenkins, who knows a thing or two about goal-kicking, having been the first player to reach 1000 test points, thinks the match could come down to his old speciality, but is not convinced that Aaron Cruden's poor form with the boot for the Chiefs, where he has mostly left the duties to full back Damian McKenzie, is a reliable indicator at the higher level.
"I'm sure the goal-kicking will be a crucial factor," said Jenkins. "But Aaron Cruden is a fantastic goal-kicker as far as I'm concerned. I know he hasn't been doing much this season but he has the last few weeks and he has been there, done that in the past."