Whether it is by luck or good management won't matter to Israel Dagg, who will settle for a good performance against Argentina any way it comes.
He needs a big game. He needs to put something on the table that says he can still do the business at the highest level.
No one within the All Blacks has written him off, but they do need him to deliver something compelling this week. They do need him to put a marker down to say he's got something the All Blacks would be silly not to use.
It's not that the selectors don't think he can't still do it, but they have a long queue of back three players with form on the board and that gives them the luxury of being picky.
The congestion means those who want to make the World Cup squad have to provide reasons to survive the cull. Past form isn't irrelevant, but it's not enough in itself to justify selection.