One thing I learned playing under Phil Gould is that you can't win a game in the first 20 minutes but you can certainly lose it. That's precisely what the Warriors did against the Broncos.
In league you have to earn the right to play expansively and the Warriors didn't do that. They were overexcited and overplayed their hand. And they really didn't need to force it. They are one of the best teams in the comp at offloading and creating second-phase play. It comes naturally to them.
We'll all know after the first 20 minutes how the Warriors are going to go. If they keep their composure and stay in the game, they'll have every chance of pulling off the upset.
But they are facing a Tigers side that looks a hell of lot like the club's champion team of 2005. There may only be four players left at the club from that team, but two of them are Robbie Farah and Benji Marshall. Those two certainly won't panic under pressure. They've played so many big games.
One of the keys to the Tigers is that they know how to play with Benji. He's the best in the business at engaging defenders and teasing them out of the line. That creates holes that his teammates are brilliant at running into. Out wide the Tigers have two of the best centres in the business, while their back rowers Gareth Ellis and Liam Fulton also read the game brilliantly.
Chris Lawrence and Blake Ayshford will be the NSW centre pairing in the not-too-distant future. They're both deadly. Fullback Tim Moltzen is the final piece of the puzzle for the Tigers. He does the same sort of job Brett Hodgson did in '05. It all adds up to a team that is the best in the competition at playing east to west.
The Tigers are a well-oiled machine all right, and given a chance they can be deadly. But the Warriors are among the best at playing north to south. They will have a big edge up front. Hopefully this time they use it.