The Kiwis face a complicated week ahead in the Four Nations after their 14-8 loss to the Kangaroos.
A win yesterday would have sealed a place in the final but the Kiwis were never really in it despite almost conjuring a late comeback.
Australia were deserved winners, and have now all but qualified for the final at Anfield on November 21 (NZT). The Kiwis hope to be there but need to wrestle with some permutations to secure their spot.
The first task is to beat Scotland which, on the evidence of Sunday morning, won't be that easy. The Bravehearts were impressive against England in the first half and led until five minutes before halftime. But they were hammered in the penalty count (17-7) and also had Danny Brough sent to the sin bin as England turned on the style in the second half to win 38-12.
The Kiwis will surely be too good for Scotland but they also need to prevail by a hefty margin to give themselves the best possible chance. A victory by 31 points or more will take the Kiwis ahead of the English on points differential. Then they will await the outcome of England's clash with Australia on Monday morning.