Whatever way you spin it, Simon Mannering's absence from the upcoming Four Nations tournament is bad news for the Kiwis campaign.
The long-time captain was scratched from the touring party yesterday, after not making a full recovery from recent minor knee surgery.
It wasn't wholly unexpected, as the 30-year-old was always going to be touch and go following the operation earlier this month, but Mannering would have been near the top of the list of players that Kiwis coach David Kidwell didn't want to lose.
Mannering has missed the last five Kiwis tests (three against England at the end of 2015 and two against Australia this year) and the team just haven't looked the same without him. New Zealand have lost four of those matches, conceding three tries or more in each of those defeats in Hull, Wigan, Newcastle and Perth.
Mannering is near irreplaceable in terms of his defensive capabilities around the ruck, something the team (and their fans) have discovered to their cost. His experience, grit and big game nous would also be invaluable to a touring party that looks green around the edges, with only four players who have played 30 tests or more (Adam Blair, Issac Luke, Thomas Leuluai and Jason Nightingale) and a rookie captain in Jesse Bromwich.