This might seem like another Warriors rollercoaster season — with a sharp drop at the end — but maybe this one's different. Maybe there are valid reasons for their decline, and it's much more than the absence of halfback Shaun Johnson.
This team lack 'middle men', players who fall between veteran and rookie status. The 17 who faced Penrith last night were similar in age to the 2011 grand final team but the gulf in experience between the two is telling.
In 2011, 14 of the 17-man squad had played 50 or more NRL games, with only Johnson, Elijah Taylor and Bill Tupou falling short of that mark. Aside from veterans such as Micheal Luck, Simon Mannering, Lance Hohaia and Manu Vatuvei, there was a group of dependable players in the mid-range of NRL experience: Kevin Locke (52 games), Lewis Brown (59), Krisnan Inu (95) James Maloney (54), Aaron Heremaia (59), Russell Packer (76) and Ben Matulino (85).
In contrast, last night's squad had only eight players who had exceeded the half-century mark. There were another eight with less than 25 NRL appearances. It's a situation that can work for one or two games, like the occasional 'Baby Broncos' upsets over the years, but can't be sustained for a long period.
"That first milestone — that 50 games — certainly signifies that you know what it takes to be there and you have the consistency to be there regularly," said Warriors second rower Ryan Hoffman. "Every team has experienced guys and [rookies] but where teams do really well is when the majority are in that middle area — between 50 and 150 games."