"I think he gets a chance to go forward this time and be closer to the speed, maybe even in front," says Herlihy.
"He might not have looked that impressive recently but I think he is going all right, it is just very hard when you get back against those good horses.
"So this race looks his chance."
Of the horses drawn inside Temporale today The Almighty Johnson looks to have the best gate speed and he would almost certainly hand the lead to his stablemate, but even more importantly Lemond is drawn outside Temporale.
When the pair meet it is usually the one who gets the better run that wins so while Lemond has the superior form lately, Temporale looks the better bet today.
If there is to be an upset, and this race has had its share over the years, then Massive Metro looks the emerging trotter. He made good ground late for fifth behind Marcoola last start in a race where he didn't have any luck and if he could hold the front at least early from the ace he has the raw speed to be competitive.
Today's other feature looks the perfect opportunity for Utmost Delight to get back to winning form on the track where she won the Jewels last winter. She has been solid when asked to give Dream About Me a start from bad draws in the mares' races at Alexandra Park recently but drops enormously in class for race seven today, a leg of the $40,000 terminating Pick6.
Trainer Steven Reid only put Utmost Delight in today's race because he believes she needs race fitness heading into next Monday's Auckland Cup but he would have been pleasantly surprised by the conditions.
Not only has she only had to cop a 35m backmark but she only has five rivals, and with 2700m to get either handy or around them she is clearly the one to beat, with whoever out of stablemates Check In or Step Up can get to the front being the one she has to catch.
Twilight tips
• Best bet: Best Western (R10, No.5): Big runs in better fields at Alexandra Park last couple of starts.
• Each way: Temporale (R8, No.5): Finally gets a good draw and will be awfully hard to catch if he leads.
• Down in grade: Ideal Holiday (R9, No.3): Has been racing in far tougher fields and gets a good draw and top driver. Finds itself in the right race.