A puggy heavy 11 will make Ellerslie a difficult punting medium this afternoon.
But Megablast early in the programme might be able to give us a bank to play with.
Megablast (Race 4) has a few worrying factors around him, but Nigel Tiley knows how to get his horses ready to go close even after a short break. The 60kg is not attractive, but the grey stayer has plenty of ability and should go close. Platinum Command could be the quinella result.
Only a small field in Race 3, but it's a very interesting betting proposition. Myrcella (No5) was narrowly beaten last time, but should go close here. Solmization (No2) has been beaten on decent tracks lately, but gets his favourite heavy stuff here. Couple them up with Kensington (No3) in the multiples.
The Shackler (No4, R6) is not at great odds in the major hurdle race, but he has been so impressive winning his last three that he looks a good prospect, despite the depth of this line-up. Raisafuasho (No3) is a dour type who gets out of his ground early, but that's the type who should be difficult to beat today. Monarch Chimes (No8) is a real chance in a good field.