The hottest favourite all day at Ellerslie is Love Affair in the $100,000 Rich Hill Mile and she should justify her short odds. Her 54.5kg is the key to the race. When she cost punters a fortune being beaten into second in the Cal Isuzu Stakes she carried 57kg.
Even more important, the pattern of racing that day at Te Rapa beat Love Affair. Horses needed to be close to the inside and close to the pace and Love Affair was neither. She is all class and will go very close.
If it happened to rain Battle Time would come right into it. The Justice League, Charles Road and Watch This Space are chances.
• The result of today's $100,000 Jamieson Park Auckland Guineas will be tempo related.
This may not be a two horse race, but Demonetization and On The Rocks look the main participants.