Sebastian Vettel heads into the weekend with a chance to repeat his 2011 feat of clinching the Formula One title in Japan with four races to spare and join Michael Schumacher and Juan-Manuel Fangio as the only men to win four championships in a row.
To clinch the title at Suzuka, the German needs to win and have nearest rival Fernando Alonso finish worse than eighth.
The first part of the equation looks likely: The Red Bull driver has won the past four races, leading after every lap in each of them.
The second part is less likely with Alonso consistently finishing high up in the points, even if the Ferrari ace was an uncompetitive sixth in last weekend's Korean Grand Prix.
"Vettel is a very long way off in terms of points, but above all in performance terms, and we cannot expect miracles between now and the end of the championship," was Alonso's frank assessment of Ferrari's title chances after Korea. "Second place in the constructors' championship is probably a more realistic target, but one thing's certain, we are not giving up now and we will give it our best shot right to the very end."