Tip: Sri Lanka, provided they get de Villiers early, to continue South Africa's Cup misery.
TAB odds: South Africa $1.45, Sri Lanka $2.60
India v Bangladesh, Melbourne, 4.30pm tomorrow
Fairly straightforward. India's batting strength is deep and the top six have all made runs in pool play.
The pleasant (for Indian fans) surprise has been the quality of their bowling, which was expected to be their weaker skill set. It is, but in Mohammad Shami they have a bustling seamer with 15 wickets from five games at just 12.6 apiece, behind only Mitchell Starc's 16. Mohit Sharma and Umesh Yadav have 10 apiece.
Bangladesh are rising rapidly as an ODI unit. They need a handful of key players to deliver to be any chance - Tamim Iqbal, Shakib al Hasan, Mushfiqur Rahim and Mahmudullah with the bat; Rubel Hossain, captain Mashrafe Mortaza and Shakib with the ball, but they've taken only 20 wickets between them.
Bangladesh fancy this match-up, certainly more than facing South Africa, which would have happened had they beaten New Zealand last week. They feel they know the Indians' game best, although their record, three wins from 28 clashes, shouts no brainer.
Tip: India with a bit to spare.
TAB odds: India $1.15, Bangladesh $5
Australia v Pakistan, Adelaide, 4.30pm Friday
Australia to charge through Pakistan? Hold your horses. Different settings and formats, yes, but Pakistan flogged Australia 2-0 in their test series in the UAE in October. Granted they lost the ODI rubber 3-0 and are 2-10 in their ODI clashes in the past five years. However they are better now that they are playing five specialist bowlers and in Wahab Riaz they have a potent, 150km/h performer.
Add in big Mohammad Irfan, Sohail Khan and Rahat Ali and they'll go hard at the Aussie batsmen.
The batting is variable, but Sarfraz Ahmed's century against Ireland won't hurt and captain Misbah-ul-Haq is a redoubtable battler.
Australia have one speed. Mitchell Starc has been outstanding, 16 wickets at 8.5, outshining Mitchell Johnson. The batting speaks for itself.
One intriguing point: it could pit six fast, or fast-medium left armers - Starc, Johnson and James Faulkner, against Irfan, Riaz and Rahat.
Tip: Australia, but not without a wobble or two.
TAB odds: Australia $1.22, Pakistan $4
New Zealand v West Indies, Wellington, 2pm Saturday
It's all been going swimmingly for the co-hosts. The stunning wins over England and Australia, other pool games won comfortably enough, then a tight finish against Bangladesh as a sharp reminder steadily built the support and the belief that, maybe, this could be their time.
The lead bowlers Trent Boult, Tim Southee and Dan Vettori have been as effective a trio as any in the tournament. Brendon McCullum has been an uber-attack minded skipper and is averaging 42 with a strike rate of 187. However the middle order still doesn't entirely convince.
The West Indies are erratic but in Jason Holder have an admirable young leader. Chris Gayle is the big batting threat, but close inspection of his recent record shows more spots than a teenager.
The suspicion is their collective batting is not good enough and if New Zealand see off Holder and impressive Jerome Taylor, they could win well. But this is knockout cricket.
Tip: New Zealand, handily enough.
TAB odds: New Zealand $1.27, West Indies $3.50
