At the crunch, in all three Ashes tests, England have been found wanting. At Brisbane, Australia were 132 for six. At Adelaide, they were 174 for four and would have been 266 for six if Brad Haddin had been caught when five. Here, they were wobbling at 143 for five.
On all three occasions, Australia won the toss, batted first in conditions made for the purpose and gave several wickets away by over-aggressive shot selection. Then, Haddin found a steely ally and stopped England ramming home their advantage.
So, what have England lacked? When it happens once or twice, it can be dismissed as luck. Three in a row makes a pattern.
For a start, England have lacked a fast bowler to force the breach, after Australia's top-order batsmen had opened it by giving wickets away. On England's last visit, they won without an outright fast bowler but it was against the grain. In the normal course, England do not win in Australia except if they have a fast bowler or if Australian cricket is divided in a state of schism.
When Stuart Broad bounced out George Bailey to make it 143 for five, England were on top. But as the ball grew softer, there was no fast bowler to blast out the sixth-wicket pair of Steve Smith and Haddin before they had added 124 and turned the game in the hosts' favour.