As fate would have it, on the day Ireland announced they would formally apply to the ICC for full-member status, New Zealand gave them every reason to feel confident. They couldn't do any worse, could they?
You can almost see the Irish delegation compiling a DVD nasty of New Zealand's 138-run rout at the hands of Pakistan in the Abu Dhabi desert as evidence for inclusion.
It was Ireland, after all, who sent the Pakistanis packing from the 2007 World Cup.
New Zealand's loss yesterday has little relevance in the grand scheme of things - just another one-day international in a crowded calendar - but it has rubbed out much of the goodwill accrued from their run to the final of the Champions Trophy in South Africa last month.
Fingers have predictably pointed in the direction of the coach, or lack thereof. New Zealand comfortably accounted for the same opposition one month ago with Andy Moles at the helm, although that argument conveniently ignores the fact that Vettori was effectively running the cutter at that point, Moles having lost the confidence of the dressing room.
In fact, the whole dressing room strife as a hurdle to success argument was kneecapped by Shahid Afridi, the Pakistan allrounder who put the shake into Sheikh Zayed Stadium.
This is the same Afridi who had recently dominated headlines in Pakistan because of his supposed rift with captain Younis Khan over (if you believe the desert telegraph) his desire to be one-day captain.
Yesterday he smote 70 from 50 deliveries, then came within an inch of a hat-trick when befuddling New Zealand's lower middle order. All that controversy must have really played havoc with his "head space".
No, the coaching debacle is too convenient a scapegoat. The real reason for the calamitous performance was that when the blowtorch was applied NZ's batsmen again melted - and again it started from the top.
Aaron Redmond's early becalming meant Brendon McCullum was forced to initiate desert storm, his brief sortie flaming out when he dragged on to his stumps.
McCullum's effectiveness at the top of the order seems inextricably linked to the injured Jesse Ryder. They feed off each other's controlled aggression.
Apart from Redmond's awkward defiance and the standard rearguard from Vettori, New Zealand's batsmen looked bereft. They do not enjoy facing young southpaw Mohammad Aamer, while they are still having nightmares about Umar Gul after he routed them at this year's world Twenty20 championships. They can't read offspinner Saeed Ajmal and Shahid Afridi's googly is a constant threat.
Given that situation, you would be a brave man to tip New Zealand to bounce back early on Saturday.
They will need more than the luck of the Irish.
<i>Dylan Cleaver</i>: Blame the batsmen, not coaching woes
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