New Zealand might have been swept 2-0 by England in the away test series but looking at early Ashes intelligence data, Australia can expect much the same.
When the England side hums, as it did in the fourth innings of the first test and the majority of the second, they're a juggernaut.
The key difference, at this stage, is offspinner Graeme Swann. His flight grenades had the New Zealanders tending to freeze like garden gnomes, despite trying to get their pad across to play him outside the line of off stump in the second test. They earned him career-best figures of 10 for 132, despite having not previously taken a wicket at Headingley or against New Zealand.
The murmur in the English press boxes is that pitches will be made drier for the Ashes to give Swann greater assistance later in the tests when footmarks start to form from Australia's left-arm bowlers (much like Neil Wagner and Trent Boult). A more abrasive surface could also hasten reverse swing.
Australia has two left-armers - Mitchell Starc and the uncapped James Faulkner - in their squad. It's feasible both will not play at once for fear of giving Swann a Headingley-type advantage. However, Australian sides have rarely been selected on fear and, with offspinner Nathan Lyon in their own ranks, they may work on the footmarks themselves.