Recent results suggest the Black Caps have what it takes to topple Australia in their three-match ODI cricket series across the ditch, but a glance at history provides a more pessimistic outlook.
On form, the Black Caps have reason for optimism ahead of the series, which starts tomorrow in Sydney. They've just whitewashed a good India ODI team, while Australia have lost their last five one-dayers. Additionally, the Black Caps have been bolstered by the return of their three best fast bowlers, while Australia's stars are slowing down at the end of a gruelling season.
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In New Zealand, or at a neutral venue, the temptation would be to class the Black Caps at favourites, but with two games in Sydney and one in Hobart, a familiar problem re-emerges.
Australia haven't lost a game at home — in any format — since January 2019, while the Black Caps haven't won an ODI in Australia since 2009, a run of six losses. Their historical record is even bleaker; having never won an ODI series across the ditch, and just to pile it on further, remember what happened the last time the Black Caps visited Australia feeling confident about their chances?