The Breakers will require a huge helping hand from the rest of the competition if their title defence is to extend beyond the remaining six weeks of the regular season.
Their playoff fate has been out of their control, to a certain extent, for some time now, but last night's loss to Sydney elucidated just how powerless the position is for the defending champions.
The Breakers (8-12) have eight games left; Sydney (10-9), in fourth, have nine. And considering third-placed Melbourne (12-9) are all but out of reach, the Kings' spot is the only available avenue into the finals.
Both teams have similar remaining schedules - playing three teams with winning records - while they have one remaining meeting, at the North Shore Events Centre on March 13.
Even if the Breakers claim that contest, the champs can drop only one or, at the most, two games down the stretch, barring a monumental Sydney collapse.