RESERVE BANK Governor Graeme Wheeler made four miss-steps last year when he increased the official cash rate to 3.5 per cent in increments of 0.25 per cent.
I was among a handful of people to call Wheeler out on it, believing there was no real justification for the rate rises. In raising interest rates he stuck his leg out and tripped up the economy -- just as it was starting to get into its stride following the global recession.
During the past two months he has taken half a per cent off the OCR so it now sits at 3 per cent, and there's a 50-50 chance of more cuts to come -- although speculation of even lower rates are starting to cool.
However, Wheeler does need credit for cutting rates during winter, when real estate activity is traditionally at its lowest point of the year. But then he has no choice but to act now if he wants to help exporters, businesses and people looking to buy a home -- particularly those outside Auckland.
Expect real estate prices to tick up as a result of lower mortgage rates, because people will be able to borrow more -- but the market may calm down a little when the new property investor rules come in on October 1.