We have just seen two changes announced that could potentially change the direction of the housing market. The first is the latest round of lending restrictions announced by the Reserve Bank, and the second is the Proposed Auckland Unitary Plan (PAUP).
The Reserve Bank has tightened the existing "LVR speed limits", meaning that the banks are limited to only 10 per cent of their lending going to owner occupiers with less than a 20 per cent deposit. This reverses a change made last November that loosened the limits outside Auckland.
They also significantly tightened lending rules for property investors nationwide, who now require a 40 per cent deposit in most cases. Previously, Auckland investors needed a 30 per cent deposit.
Previous lending restrictions when put in place by the Reserve Bank have had a slight and short-term impact on sales volumes and values.
It's own analysis expects these measures to slow property value growth by 2 per cent to 5 per cent less than would have otherwise been the case. So if values in an area were going to increase 15 per cent they would now rise by 10 per cent. The bank doesn't expect prices to crash.