Labour Party deputy Kelvin Davis is well ahead in Te Tai Tokerau, making it unlikely Mana's Hone Harawira will have a place in Parliament.
This week Harawira called landline phone polls that revealed Davis as the preferred
candidate as "rubbish".
But the poll that placed Davis as preferred candidate at 67 per cent and Harawira trailing on 30.3 per cent could prove accurate.
Harawira took a hit at the last election after entering into a coalition with Kim Dotcom and the Internet Party, losing his spot in Parliament.
Earlier this year Harawira acknowledge the damage the relationship had done and told the Herald in hindsight it was a mistake.