Last week Roger Styles, CEO of a health insurers' lobby group (and recent Act Party research director), argued that the only way to maintain access to expensive health care procedures without rationing or requiring contributions beyond the resources of many was to increase the number of people with private health insurance, a move which would inevitably require "some element of compulsion" (NZ Herald 23 Feb).
This week elderly policy holders are complaining about the cost of their premiums (NZ Herald, 27/28 February).
The two stories are part of a single issue. One might have expected an erstwhile Act Party research adviser to favour a market solution, leaving people to choose to insure or not, but Mr Styles's industry faces the 'adverse selection problem', and that is what we are seeing this week.
The young and fit, who would pay their premiums and claim in low numbers, tend not to insure. As a result, the elderly and expensive are disproportionately represented among health insurance policy-holders. It's tough in the unregulated health insurance business; like being a car insurer who cannot bank the premiums of the careful drivers to pay for the yobbos. Without the profitable non-claimers, the industry has no option but to increase the premiums of those who tend to buy their product. Hence Mr Styles's un-Act like enthusiasm for compulsion.
We have seen all of this before. The adverse selection problem led to spiraling premiums and the near collapse of the industry in Australia in the 1990s.