New Zealand's target of having fewer than 5 per cent of the population smoking by 2025 could go up in a puff, with researchers saying all of the country's smokers would need to immediately start trying to give up.
Based on the country's current rate of quitting, it will take "generations" to arrive at a smokefree society, according to a study by the University of Auckland, published in the New Zealand Medical Journal.
Just over 16 per cent of the adult population - 726,825 people - smoke.
The Auckland University researchers analysed data from a smoking prevention trial, Keeping Kids Smokefree, which was conducted from 2007-2010 in what the university described as a low socio-economic, multicultural area of South Auckland.
Nearly 3100 participants responded to follow-up surveys for the study.