"Even if you did get to the side, you'd have to deal with a whole lot of vegetation.
"It's pretty easy to get pulled under when it's like that, poor guy."
Moody said the man would probably have been pushed out to sea.
"I'm sure he would have turned up by now if he was okay."
LandSAR teams were today searching the area where the youth disappeared as maritime police searched Wellington Harbour and the river mouth.
The police dive squad was on standby but conditions were still too treacherous for the team to enter the water after last night's heavy rain.
This morning the river was still swollen and had breached its banks in some parts.
One man walking his dog this morning said there were plenty of popular swimming spots along the area of the river where the 19-year-old was reported missing.
A NewstalkZB reporter said the current was flowing swiftly where the two youths entered the water for their ill-fated late-night swim.
MetService meteorologist Brian Mercer said parts of the Wellington region, including Lower Hutt, recorded around 10mm of rain hourly on Thursday afternoon.